| kb ag - 1/15/2026 18:52
I was criticizing his belief in fairy dust in a thread down below and and all my responses have disappeared but the thread is still there. Are we not allowed to say fundamentals and news rules and anyone guessing the market based on energy is a fool? Especially when they never predict anything before it happens? I get the energy of not stepping in front of a train or catching a falling knife, but that isn't the energy he talks about.
Hi KB,
I am crushed I missed your kind words..lol. We have had enough exchanges for me to know that I am not changing your mind, and you for sure aren't changing mine. I am not a moderator. I couldn't do the job fairly I don't think. And I certainly don't want the responsibility. Kudos to those that do it here cuz I couldn't I am sure of that.
I am sorry if I offended you. And I wasnt being arrogant. The exact opposite it true. I think the true arrogance lays in those that thread after thread call for the USDA to be eliminated and suggest they are either incompetent or have an agenda. While not a single one of those that criticize the USDA can do better. Not a single one. I just shined the light of truth on the fact that everyone of us makes a decision to do something or not. Doing nothing is a decision just the same as doing something is. Everyone makes their decisions based on their wants needs and beliefs. So live with it. Why blame the USDA for putting out a report that doesn't match your desires? That the height of arrogance if you ask me.
I don't double speak. I am trying to teach when there an opportunity. And that require explanation of both sides since I don't live here. Not every one here knows it all already. Humanity exists today because lessons are passed down through the generations in hopes that the next generation won't make the same mistakes as the previous and they might expand on those lessons. Price reading is dead because of technology but it's what I was taught and if those of us who do, don't share and try to pass those lessons down, it will be lost. Too be honest, there is so much that needs to be shared by so many, yet people are comfortable believing what they want to and are critical of anything challenging that. So people shut up and not say anything. And everyone looses.
The energy concept of price is a simplie concept. Once you begin to think of price movement as the expression of energy, it will shock you how accurate it is for being so simple. It cuts right through the noise. Yet instead of one simple concept, we try and understand weather, reports cycles, news tweets etc and try to make sense of it all. But if that was true, it would seem to me that the market's memory would be short. That's what we are told to believe. Yet then explain how you can take the same pattern from a intraday tick chart that plays out a certain way, and see the same formation on a monthly and it plays out identical, only it took 20 years to do it while countless events were assigned along the way. Both can't be true. I guess that I get that from decades of watching intraday patterns play out then see the exact thing happen on high time frame charts only it takes much more time. I struggle with that a little because of that, intraday might take two days, daily might take two years yet the result was the same. People use patterns all the time, head and shoulders pennants, etc. Those mean nothing to me, but the concepts are similar. But if I used that terminology, it would be accepted...
There are many pieces to the puzzle and I can not say exactly how it will play out. I have analogs that closely match so I have expectations either be it right or wrong. But the thing that is most concerning is the failed swings that exist in a lot of these markets and the extreme repeatedly of what happens to these failures. It's not 100 pct but I bet it's over 90 pct statistically that price will return to test the origin of the failed swings. I should probably collect the data on it and know for sure sometime but it's an awfully big number irregardless. I can bore you with talk of dimensions rotating and such but in the end, it's a simple decision. If the odds are say 90 pct that price will return to the failed swings origin, are you willing and able to handle that? If you can or decide it won't for whatever reason, great go forth and prosper. If you can't or don't want to for whatever reason, then you have decisons to make. It's do nothing or do something but either is a decision. And accept the responsibility whatever the outcome and not be blaming the USDA for something you chose to do. I only am warning people of this extreme risk. Its not different than if a revolver had 10 chambers for bullets and 9 of them had bullets in them but you weren't sure which ones, would you point it at your head and pull the trigger knowing their was a 90 pct chance there was a bullet in the chamber? The risks are the same.
I say Hi and Take care out of respect. I am sorry but I won't ever change that. When I make a phone call I start by saying good afternoon, good morning, hello George etc. and when I hang up I don't just hang up. I say...well take care almost every time, other wise good bye. Its rude otherwise IMHO. It's respect. Meant truthfully and whole heartedly.
So....
Take care
Edited by NEIAAG 1/15/2026 22:17
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