| JC STONE - 12/13/2025 10:42
Never said I didn't want things explained , a picture is worth a thousand words, adds to the explaination , thats all I was saying.
Thanks for the visuals ,so now can we have a discussion?
Okay so currently we are storing energy, how long could this go on? The tricky part is knowing when the storage is complete. Is it complete at the recent high or 12 or 13 dollars. Or is it time in a sideways market that completes it. How do you know?
Look closer. Tape a copy to the ceiling in your bedroom. Put another in the bathroom by the toilet. Make it the screen saver on your PC. Its right there. Remember the whole "When price goes vertical the move is half over discussion some months ago" ? You have to learn it because unfortunately there is no hard and fast rule - or at least one that I can say with confidence today but I am working on it.
For me its what am I trying to do. If I am selling a crop or hedging a crop, i work under the "just get me close" concept. I couldn't careless about a nickel or a dime in that scenario because even if a person is right, if you aren't sitting there 24/7, you could go to bed, price went up 20, and is down 10 when you get up in the morning. You were right but big darn deal. If I am gonna speculate then theres a whole nother ruleset involved which by just using them filters alot of that out. For instance, if you were gonna spec on beans, where would the stop be as we were going up...and is it affordable? And since we made the high, is there any structure that can be drawn to get downsloping lines? And does the overall structure of the chart support that its time for an entry to be considered? Have the dimensions diverged (like the tangents of a circle discussed before) that would support that its time as well? Do I have something that I am confident in that is aiding in providing the probable path of price? These are just some of the things I go through before I put in an order.
One last piece of advice - USE THE HEADLINES DON'T LET THEM USE YOU! When price gets frothy, instead of getting sucked into the nonesense you are being forcefed everywhere - ask "WHAT DID PRICE JUST DO? IF PRICE JUST WENT VERTICAL AND THE MOVE IS HALF OVER THEN WHERE SHOULD IT RUN OUT OF ENERGY?" Keep doing that practice,practice, practice, and I assure you if you do that, you too will start to see that price is NOT random and there is never a mistake in price.
Take care
Edited by NEIAAG 12/13/2025 11:34
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Corn and Beans - There's reasons to be vigilant
