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Doesn't look good ,
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NE Ridger
Posted 12/4/2025 20:25 (#11457507 - in reply to #11456003)
Subject: RE: Doesn't look good ,


EC Nebraska

Reality speaks - 12/3/2025 19:15

based upon their belly aching 100% thought that the profits in 2020-2022 were going to go on forever. This is just the normal down part of the cycle. Yes it sucks but anyone paying attention knew it was coming and took advantage of 2020-2022 to paydown debt and increase working capital (talk about a unicorn show me the farmer that did that) Most took on more equipment investment (increasing their overhead costs) and invested a lot in non earning assets.  Some added on more land debt increasing their Real Estate debt payments from something comfortable to something that squeezes the cash flow to buy that last over priced farm.


Historically the cure for low prices has been low prices which stimulates more demand while supply contracts.



My banker said that a lot of his regular customers didn't bother with an operating loan or much of a LOC in the spring of 2023.  They were flush with working capital.   

They were mostly back for credit by the spring of 2024.  

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