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| There's a track record that gives an obvious answer. USDA has overstated yields 7 years out of the last 8. And once they overstate they are really, really, slow to make good on it like what happened in 2020 when everyone else in the world eventually knew the grain wasn't there and the USDA eventually did correct but after the market went on quite a rip after the derecho and china buying. | |
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