| Yogi2 - 8/5/2025 16:49
Thanks JP for bringing some refreshment to this page. I'm convinced you've studied markets and their movements as much or more than
anyone here, so my mind is open and I welcome your opinion. I wish i had your due diligence and time to study and learn as you have. Your thoughts
are duly noted.
Hi Yogi,
I appreciate the kind words. They seldom happen. But since you did, I will share a little more information. We have been taught the markets are random. That there is no rythym to it. There is a whole network of companies and people that make their living on telling you why the market did what it did today. I mentioned previously that myself and a friend have been building a database of swings well into the millions now. Its a approaching a multi-year effort. "IF" all the people, universities and such are right and the markets are choatic and not repeatable our database should be filled with millions of single analogs - meaning analogs that stand alone and do not have enough shared information between the swings to be able to say that they are repeatable. We are far enough into the collection process of multiple symbols and all time frames from very small tick to weeklies, that I can say with a high degree of confidence that about .18% of swings are seemingly random. Meaning, they do not match any of the other stored swings with a high probability. But even those eventually get matching analogs. So the next time someone talks to you about a black swan - you can be sure they are clueless. The market is simple a collection of repeatable patterns, constantly repeating over and over and over. There are no accidents and black swans do not exist.
Take care
Edited by NEIAAG 8/5/2025 17:07
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