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SW Wisconsin | Iran now has a limited air defense capability and a finite number of missile launchers which the Israeli's are hunting to extinction.
Without being able to defend their airspace Iran's naval bases are now more vulnerable.
They basically have a green water navy: the largest threat being Russian and North Korean built subs and anti ship cruise missiles.
Iran will launch the obligatory missile/drone response and try to buy time to reconstitute the lost leadership/proxy groups, rally it's citizens, restore confidence in the government and hope their oil infrastructure is not attacked.
The long term dictator Khameini will probably also attack with Cyber and terrorism.
Restricting access to the internet, censorship and propaganda will continue in earnest.
IMO, They will kick out the IAEA inspectors and move their nuke project (and the 60% enriched uranium) underground hoping to have a bomb sometime in the future.
Hamas, Hezbollah, The Houthis and Bashar Al-Assad have left the stage. Iran is now the lone actor. Hopefully the Iranian people will call for regime change.
After four decades of hearing The Islamic Republic of Iran chant, "Death to America" it's unfortunate that Jimmy Carter did not live to see this day.
Going to be interesting.
Edited by hillclimber 6/22/2025 13:02
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Strait of Hormuz
