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Ag WX forecasters
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w1891
Posted 5/14/2025 16:16 (#11224841)
Subject: Ag WX forecasters


S Illinois
With this 7 day forecast. https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/p168i.gif?1747256380
And the weather already experienced, does anyone feel like some of the forecasting is relying too heavily on analog years and are becoming somewhat myopic in scope? Not many in the 2012 or 2011 epicenters of yield loss would consider either of those two years anything close to being similar to this current year. However those two years seem to be 30-40% of the forecasting years that get referenced. The market seems to be pulling wx premium out. Are ag forecasters giving more hope for wx rallies than should be?
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