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Your farm has a trade deficit
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Agr723
Posted 4/25/2025 14:00 (#11202327 - in reply to #11201708)
Subject: RE: Your farm has a trade deficit


SE MN
So, are you saying that you don't understand how harvest basis works? I'll help you out.

In his area he likely sees a wide basis at harvest, I'm guessing -$0.60 or so. Based on the information you provided on the Dec Corn contract price that would translate into corn prices under $3.50 cash. Now when April/May/June comes around often the basis narrows substantially, sometimes getting close to positive territory. This is how grain merchandisers make money. Since futures were well over $5 for both May and July for quite some time in February if a person did anywhere close to a reasonably good job marketing they were able to get over $5 cash for the corn they are delivering now.

Does that help?
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