unlgrad - 8/23/2024 22:17
Actually the agent is supposed to take the moisture down to 15.5 or 15 to figure actual yield. Wet bushels don't add extra yield. Unless you are over reporting actual production to raise APH. They will eventually catch it.
we’ve done high moisture before delivered to feedlots.. and I’ll agree that harvest loss may be less.. but it’s not like dryer fields harvested later can’t yield more… which in most years they do.
If we were leaving beau coup bushels.. there’d be enough $$$ to pay for drying.. or we’d pay for it ourselves.
There’s not.
So I don’t see the unethical statement.
the MORE unethical imho are all the claims about farmers puking corn..
Here we sit.. watching prices fall.. normally we would have started fall harvest by now.. but with prices crashing.. no need to bust a gut.
The ethanol plant brought in another shuttle.. so.. someone must have corn.. it’ll last them 10 days.. if they grind it.. or they said they would probably ship the majority of it.. in which case it’ll be less than 5 days..
Some have started.. it’s dryland. I appraised the custom job which I did.. over 600 acres..
the best.. I owe a steak if it doesn’t make 120.. he owes me if it does.. feeling pretty good about that one..
worst field.. won’t make 10.. I appraised at 9 bu corn.. it’ll actually probably appraise at like.. 22 but at least half of the ears.. if they have anything.. are too small and will be pulled through the stripper plates.. so.. ???
I’m more nervous about the 9.. then I am the 120.
These fields are about 10 miles apart.. but representative of the area.. the 9 is better dirt.. cover crop of rye.. (there went the moisture) pastured with cattle (add compaction) so when the heat came.. and maybe it missed a shower or two.. explains the over 100 bushel difference.
Last year we harvested 270 bu irrigated corn.. at.. 16%.. looks like we’ll do that again or better this year.
No way in hell do I believe we’ve got a 15 billion bu crop with sub $4 futures.
with the drop in prices.. maybe 5% of the crop won’t have an insurance claim here.. dryland.. probably.. flip that irrigated.
adjusters are gonna be busy this fall!!
If the experts on the tour went through my county they’d find yields of zero.. I’m guessing 5% to irrigated of.. we’ll I pulled an ear 18 x 47 x 30.8.. calculate that..
I don’t believe the whole field will do that.. but I don’t recall seeing so many 18s as this year personally.
so.. whatever.
Edited by JonSCKs 8/24/2024 07:46
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So the next question is…
