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Pro Farmer MN yield
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SoDak Farms
Posted 8/22/2024 23:24 (#10862380 - in reply to #10862284)
Subject: RE: no surprise in number here.....


EC SoDak
Couldn’t the argument, for your bias, be it’s a horribly small state yield because that’s what you want to see. As you mention, human bias is to pull the bigger ear. As a farmer, trying to be bullish their own crop, I can see that. On a bigger scale that same philosophy would suggest you’d pull smaller ears on other areas to fit your bias of what you want being bullish.

Personally, I think MN will be down from current USDA estimates. However, I doubt it’ll be down as much as many seem to think. Look no further than last year, remember how crazy folks said MN being in the 180s was?165 max I believe was popular, I think that’s a number I’ve been hearing this year too. Eh, better than expected for the state if they’re thinking 160/165. We see this on the national stage too. When is the last time we haven’t had some folks talking 160s nationally? I’d guess when national yields were on the 130/140s, so the other end of the spectrum.
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