| GrainTrader - 12/2/2023 07:36
I agree on the speculation that ZL is ready for a move up. Fundamentally also it has a story to get legs also.
The October Census Bureau crush was reported after the close yesterday and it was an all-time record high for any month. The US has never crushed 200 mil bu of beans in one month until October 2023. The soybean crush was 201.4 mil. bu., a bit above the market’s expectation of 201.1 mil bu. and well above the 197 mil. bu. a year ago.
Soybean oil stocks were expected to be 1.540 billion lbs, but soy oil stocks were just 1.082 bil. lbs. Nobody has ever reported an estimate of meal on hand, but it was 291,071 tons, way down from the 352,206 tons a year ago.
So, we had a bigger than expected soybean crush and, yet, ~30% less soy oil on hand than expected, 34% less oil than a year ago, and ~18% less meal on hand than a year ago.
THIS IS FROM THIS MORNINGS WRIGHT ON THE MARKET EMAIL SERzvICE
Soybean processing has had to supply the normal domestic and foreign market, as well as supplying meal to a significant amount of Argentina’s normal customers, because of their production disaster a year ago.
While it is great for us to have that business, on has to consider it a one-off situation that will probably look a lot different at this time next year.
Edit… spelling
Edited by indeeppigfarmer 12/2/2023 08:04
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Soyoil
