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SE IL | Statistics disagree with you. Using 30 years (I’m not exactly how many) of data if the yield increase is 1.5% per year until there is long term data to say otherwise they add the 1.5%. Now arguments could be made the the trend is flattening but there doesn’t seem to be enough data yet to support that. We all know how weather goes in cycles so we have now had 3 maybe 4 years of at or below trend. We will see what happens to next 3 to 4. Long term trends don’t change very fast. If anything 173 this year with lack of rain confirms to me that if everyone was normal that 180ish would be spot on.
Edit: I believe right now it’s about 1.5 bu per yr not 1.5% increase. I’ll have to look when I get more time.
Edited by Deere6 10/14/2023 14:53
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Fast planting pace
