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Rob, with regards to your "planting progress" post.
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Posted 4/19/2017 12:17 (#5971167)
Subject: Rob, with regards to your "planting progress" post.



Death comes to us all. Life's but a walking shadow
It has been known for some time that the USDA (specifically the WAOB) uses a weather adjusted yield prediction equation, developed by Westcott & Jewison that includes a mid-May crop progress term. The term uses the mid-May crop progress of each of 8 major corn producing states weighed by their respective harvested acres and results in factor of 0.29 for every weighted average point above the mean. You can read about it here:https://www.usda.gov/oce/forum/presentations/Westcott_Jewison.pdf. That 0.29 factor is about 1/10 of the factors for July temperature & July precip. squared and 1/50 of the factors for July precip. and June precip, shortfall.
In short, there has to very significant planting delays to seriously affect yield.
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