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1/3/2013 Brazil soy: climate affected production last year
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Gottlieb
Posted 1/3/2013 06:35 (#2795145)
Subject: 1/3/2013 Brazil soy: climate affected production last year


The year 2012 for bean culture was marked by the high amount of adversity in climate throughout the year. The first crop 2011/12 presented a fall in production due to the drought that affected heavily the northeastern and Southern States of Brazil, especially the Parana, Brazil's largest producer of the bean. The drought in these States has strongly influenced the price of beans domestic Brazilian Rio where, in the first fortnight of January, the price of the 60 kg bag of extra Cariocas went from R $ 135,00 for $ 202.50, representing increase of 50%.

"In addition to the drought in the southern States at the same time we had too much rain in the States of Goiás and Minas Gerais, which led to problems on their crops because of the drop in domestic grain quality," says the analyst of Crops Market & Régis Becker. Even so, with the entry of the harvest of these States from the second half of January, with more from February, the Rio bean price retreated on the domestic market, passing for an average price of $ 175.00/sc of 60 kg, porch that has remained virtually stable in February.

According to the analyst, the March signaled a rising Rio bean due to input from out of the season periods. With a starting price of $ 187.5/sc of 60 kg, after several ratings during the month, with the price of 60 kg bag quoted at r $ 230,00. "Comparing the production of 2011 and 2012, the fall in the sfra this year was quite expressive. While in 2011 the first grain harvest volume was 1.680 million tons in 2012 production was of 1.235 mihlão tons, down 26.4% "indicates Becker.

With the first crop, the second crop showed a decrease in planted area and therefore production. "In April, month characterized by be a out of the season periods, we had the highest average price of the year, with the average Rio bean extra reaching R $ 232,63/sc of 60 kg in the month. Still, in April we also had the highest price of the year in Rio de Janeiro, when bean in the days 24 and 25 the price paid by 60 kg bag purse frame was r $ 260.00, "Becker says.

Breaking-"A factor that influenced this significant increase in price, in addition to the break of the first crop, was the almost total loss in production of Northeastern States, mostly Ceará, because of a new drought that affected these countries between March and April, planting season in these regions," says the analyst.

"In June, prices fell back sharply in the attacked, motivated mainly by the fall of demand for beans offered. This bean was harvested in an unfavorable climate. With an excess of rain-producing regions, much of the grain arrived at the wet market, which drove away buyers and therefore reduced the prices of 60 kg bag ", according to Becker.

In the following month, the fall of the cost of the bag on the market was still intense, reaching the lowest price of the year, with R $ 150,57/sc of 60 kg. By comparison, the production of beans in the second crop 2012 was 1.065 million tons, which represents a decline of almost 20% compared to production of second season 2011, which was of 1.325 million tons.

In August, the price of beans in a lower level in the first half, but showed a significant appreciation in the remainder of the month due to an increase in demand for bean producing regions. With the third harvest nearly completed, the production, as expected, dropped for 2011.

The third crop of 2012 presented production of 598.1 million tons, while in the same period of the crop of 2011, the production was 727.4 million tons. "There are several reasons for the drop in production of the third season 2012, one of which is the significant reduction of acreage in the bean-producing States at the third harvest. This reduction was already expected by the internal market, since the first and second crop of 2012 feature numerous climate problems, which caused a migration to other cultures more secure, "said the Safas & Market Analyst.














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