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grains
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NEIAAG
Posted 11/13/2026 19:30 (#11801974 - in reply to #11801966)
Subject: RE: grains


JC STONE - 11/13/2026 19:21

One could have traded the long and short turns of the MACD for the last 3 swings and did quite well. Not the top or the bottom in price , but well within the range to make some good bank.
I like the MACD because I can see it in real time. This last turn at the top in Sept was a monster, we know what happened. This turn off the bottom could be equally exciting.
If you overlay my set of lines I drew with the MACD , it would be intetesting. The medium lines would show the turns sooner , however the MACD would confirm the turn. I like em together.



Yep. I get it. Not trying to pursuade you either way. The last three swings have been a bit of an anomaly though. If you remember I did the stats for the MACD is soybeans a few years ago for you and posted them here. Was it 19pct profitable?.I think that was what it was. It lost a boat load of money over the 50 years of data. So don't be blinded by confirmation bias. Then it comes down to risk reward, stops (I know who uses them) etc. most likely none of those moves would work for me but that's me.

Bigger question is do you understand the polarity between the two?

Take care

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