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| You can go back a year on his twitter timeline and find the eBay posts from July 9-10, 2025
But that one’s probably over now.
Next up he has a bunch of interviews he reposted that he did last year after he bought btc
And when it’s a post from a year ago, if it’s positive then that’s bearish, if the connotation is negative, then it’s bullish. (The opposite of a current twitter post. Like if he posts something bullish this year, it would be bullish for this year and bearish for next year, but that’s by design of the swaps I think)
So going into July opex is bearish for crypto.
And then on July 19th he’s got a post with the world “sh*t” in it. So that’s extremely bullish.
It seems pretty obvious to me that Coinbase might go up with the bottom being 7/21 (Tuesday after opex). And go up into August opex. Maybe August 20th.
My wild ass guess would be Coinbase hits 130 and then does a wild ass rally to 293.
But that’s me guessing entirely just looking at swaps.
Coinbase shows up on xrt on 7/21 and the majority of Pulte isin show up on 8/20.
And his Pulte tweet is bearish because it talks about trump and “golden age”
But like without knowing how to explicitly read the swaps, that “****” post could just be a twenty dollar rally for that specific week. And then it goes sideways until August 20th at which point it goes down twenty dollars.
There’s really just to many possibilities still.
It’s like a superposition of an electron. It could go thru 1 slit. Or it could go thru the other slit. Or it could go thru both slits. Or it could go thru neither slit.
Just because you point the electron at the double slit and you know where it’s aiming still doesn’t give you an exact idea on what will happen and you’re at a 25% chance of being right. But I’d argue there’s even more possibilities within the context of the stock market.
My only problem really is how easy that seems. eBay and Facebook took a little bit of clever thought. And then how it played out was actually kinda wild.
Maybe I’m supposed to think it’s Microstrategy. Andrew Ross sorkin mentions in the msnbc interview. Also sorkin is kinda dismissive of Ryan cohen and clearly thinks GameStop is dumb.
Clearly sorkins a f-ing idiot. And Ryan cohen clearly isn’t. | |
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Facebook marketplace VS ebay
