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JonSCKs
Posted 1/12/2017 07:43 (#5762060 - in reply to #5761996)
Subject: Dollar down.. Crude up..


They said the Dollar went down yesterday during Trump's presser...???  Is that a sign of things to come?

A couple things yesterday..

a) Local Wheat basis is definitely a segmented market.. Our elevators are low bidders cause they are slugged with Low Pro Wheat.. probably a third or more is less than 10%.  I tried to buy some but the seller was current..  "tight farmer holdings.. probably still holding  25% or more of last years crop..  A LARGE percentage will probably be carried into harvest 2017.. blended crop.. blended price.  Golly the poor suckers who hauled higher pro wheat to the elevators are getting robbed right now.. 12's worth ALMOST a DOLLAR higher...  "so it goes."  

The Railroads need to put some programs together to move shuttles out of Central.. and  Western Kansas to the PNW.. blend it with higher pro HRW out of Northern States..  hmm.. that might work..?? 

stuff is moving.. we should have room for harvest... certainly as..

b) Corn crop was down.. golly looks like I was high.. noted a lot of 150 to 165 bu IRRIGATED Corn in the draw area.. total in take of corn was DOWN 7% give or take vs 2015.

c) Local elevator started picking up it's LAST pile of Sorghum.



Probably less wheat being fed.. only hog feeders..and some farmer feeders.. (non-flakers..) blend blend blend.. is the program.. which means more corn fed then thought on a lower crop.. again W Kansas had a dryland crop.. nearing the end of the cheap Sorghum.. thus more corn going into the grind soon.. as basis is picking up.. 

Corn basis at -.60 at gut slut.. up to -10 to -20's.. now. 

If we get a bearish reaction to Soybeans on report today.. I'm canceling bean seed.. I'm not gonna plant beans which I don't have locked in below $10.. average thus far is $10.33..

later.

Oh.. we did get a pickup in US production yesterday on Crude..  ( https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCRFP... ) inventories from pump tanks or the real deal?  Too soon to tell yet.. both..??

as well as another RECORD in the ethanol grind at 1,049.. 

 2016-Sep09/02 998   09/09 1,004   09/16 981   09/23 989   09/30 980   
  2016-Oct10/07 962   10/14 998   10/21 991   10/28 1,022       
  2016-Nov11/04 1,002   11/11 1,017   11/18 1,014   11/25 1,012       
  2016-Dec12/02 1,023   12/09 1,040   12/16 1,036   12/23 1,028   12/30 1,043   
 
  2017-Jan01/06 1,049   

  I'm also hearing that the conversion is not as good as last year..???

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