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Last Week's Ethanol exports
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JonSCKs
Posted 3/7/2016 13:34 (#5161286)
Subject: Last Week's Ethanol exports


Last week's ethanol exports were good with the implied number at 1.216 myn bbls.. up 17.4% yoy.  We got an ethanol stocks decline as we transition to summer blend fuels they have to take the more volatile components out which favors ethanol.  Production up yoy 2.7% domestic usage up 2.3% and total usage this week was 1.056 myn bbls.. which is pretty good.  I expect to start seeing 1 myn bbls grinds again shortly..

Roll'in Roll'in Roll'in..

 

          Computed          
 Weekly Production      number to balanceComputedActualTotal Weekly bu  Weekly US  
Week Blenders InputImportsStocksCapacityResidual and exportsExportsExportsEthanolGrindMonthlyYearSupplied Finished 
 Ethanol k bbls/dayk bbls /dayk bbls /day k bbls k bbls k bbls /dayk bblsMonthlyEIAdemand  myn buMotor Gasoline 
        37,936       2.8conversion Ethanol as % of

9/4/2015958 896 0 18,64249% 113.4 794  1009.4100,590  90179.94% 
9/11/2015961 878 0 18,29148% 133.1 932  1011.1100,905  89839.77% 
9/18/2015938 892 44 18,90050% 3.0 21  895.098,490  92159.68% 
9/25/2015943 881 0 18,78250% 78.9 5522,2991,438959.999,015  90219.77% 
10/2/2015950 882 17 18,81250% 80.7 565  962.799,750  89589.85% 
10/9/2015949 887 0 18,95650% 41.4 290  928.499,645  91379.71% 
10/16/2015951 897 0 18,87250% 66.0 462  963.099,855  91579.80% 
10/23/2015944 915 0 18,27348% 114.6 802  1029.699,120  93439.79% 
10/30/2015969 884 10 18,77449% 23.4 1642,2831,796907.4101,745  91849.63% 
11/6/2015982 868 26 18,85450% 128.6 900  996.6103,110  93889.25% 
11/13/2015975 870 0 19,24951% 48.6 340  918.6102,375  90549.61% 
11/20/20151008 885 0 19,62752% 69.0 483  954.0105,840  89219.92% 
11/27/2015956 876 36 19,99753% 63.1 4422,1651,450939.1100,380  92819.44% 
12/4/2015993 839 0 19,82952% 178.0 1246  1017.0104,265  94208.91% 
12/11/20151000 890 32 20,32254% 71.6 501  961.6105,000  92209.65% 
12/18/2015973 880 0 20,38754% 83.7 586  963.7102,165  91859.58% 
12/25/2015992 907 0 20,16653% 116.6 8163,1491,9491023.6104,160  93959.65% 
1/1/2016996 787 0 21,09956% 75.7 530  862.7104,580  81599.65% 
1/8/20161003 807 0 21,34556% 160.9 1126  967.9105,315  85009.49% 
1/15/2016983 856 0 21,94058% 42.0 294  898.0103,215  90799.43% 
1/22/2016961 865 0 21,43657% 168.0 1176  1033.0100,905  89419.67% 
1/29/2016959 815 0 22,36259% 11.7 823,208 826.7100,695  83419.77% 
2/5/2016969 858 0 22,95661% 26.1 183  884.1101,745  91229.41% 
2/12/2016975 878 0 23,21861% 59.6 417  937.6102,375  92039.54% 
2/19/2016994 882 0 23,10561% 128.1 897  1010.1104,370  95769.21% 
2/26/2016987 882 0 22,62460% 173.7 1216  1055.7103,635  91219.67% 
                      
             2,984pace       
15 to date971.9 871.4 6.3 20262  87 6082681??958102,0482,653myn bu9074  
14 to date946.7 852.2 0.8 18859  74 5182246182692699,3992,584myn bu8912  
                2649.269myn bu   
15 vs 142.7% 2.3%   7.4%  17.4% 17.4%19.4%??3.5%2.7%2.7% 1.8%  
   53260.0   Calendar Yr: 845.9 5921.0 20103.0       
   15658.4      gallons: 248.68232,84423,64972.0%2.80conversion   
              844.326       
              1069.1pace102,982avg 2016 grind   
              1.069 5,355,047projected grind 2016   
                      

 

Weekly production number http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=pet&s=w_epooxe_yop_nus_mbbld&f=w

Weekly Blenders Input.. http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=pet&s=w_epooxe_yir_nus_mbbld&f=w

Weekly Imports of Ethanol http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=W_EPOOXE_IM0_NUS-Z00_MBBLD&f=W

Weekly Stocks number http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=W_EPOOXE_SAE_NUS_MBBL&f=W

Weekly US Product Supplied of Finished Motor Gasoline http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WGFUPUS2&f=W

Monthly US Exports of Ethanol http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=M_EPOOXE_EEX_NUS-Z00_MBBL&f=M

Cheers.

 


Edited by JonSCKs 3/7/2016 13:35
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