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Historical or hysterical price pattern?
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nebfarmer
Posted 7/31/2015 06:18 (#4708993)
Subject: Historical or hysterical price pattern?


SE Nebraska, Near Misery and Cans Ass!
My old friend considered the fourth of july as one of the most important marketing weeks of the year. He said that if a trend continued through that time period it was likely to continue for a longer period and usually accelerate. If it reversed it was usually continue for a longer period of time. He marketed his crop on an historical basis pricing most of his grain on one of three dates. First of may, fourth of July , thanksgiving and I realize now I just followed his advice. Whenever he observed an historical trend he would comment on the years /times that were an exception. This was usually due to extreme outside influences like grain embargos , volcanic eruptions, political event. etc. Seldom weather. That he said was an hysterical price pattern. I think we are in a normal fourth of july reversal just latter than usual but I'm not sure, could be hysterical I just don't know what the event is. Really think he would. Did I say I miss my old friend?
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