| Hanktbd - 4/23/2021 22:41 Weird. The approximately half million excess deaths almost matches the half million Covid deaths the CDC was claiming.
Around 450K deaths above trend according to my estimate.
Around 382K COVID related deaths (meaning the person at least had COVID less than 30 days before they died) according to CDC. 15% less than what accounts for excess deaths. 68K excess deaths unaccounted for by COVID.
My guess is that 20% or so of the official COVID deaths were from something other than COVID as the primary cause of death. So maybe 76K.
Then the 68K of unaccounted for excess deaths on top of that makes for 144K of the excess deaths potentially being lockdown related.
So maybe 306K actually died from COVID. A large number. But probably 70% of those 306K were going to die within a year or two if they had not gotten COVID because they were flat out old and unhealthy and had no quality of life (bedridden, etc).
So maybe 92K died of COVID that would not have otherwise died in the next year or two compared to potentially 144K lockdown related deaths where those people may not have otherwise died for many years.
Nothing is cut and dried. |
Excess deaths in Europe vs USA
