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East of Broken Bow | The US excess deaths numbers do not add up.
I looked at the CDC website, They used an 'expected' death rate per 100K that was lower than both 2019 and 2018 as their baseline. If you were to use 2019 actual deaths as a baseline, the 'excess' death rate is less than 1/3 of the numbers widely reported.
If you click here, and scroll down, you will see that the CDC's best guess for 2020 total death rate is set at 828.7 per 100K population
https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/70/wr/mm7014e1.htm
This report presents an overview of provisional U.S. mortality data for 2020, including the first ranking of leading causes of death. In 2020, approximately 3,358,814 deaths† occurred in the United States. From 2019 to 2020, the estimated age-adjusted death rate increased by 15.9%, from 715.2 to 828.7 deaths per 100,000 population.
Now let's check the CDC, for their official 2019 numbers:
https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/deaths.htm
Data are for the U.S.
Number of deaths: 2,854,838
Death rate: 869.7 deaths per 100,000 population
Source: National Vital Statistics System – Mortality Data (2019) via CDC WONDER
Remember 828.7 deaths per 100K population in 2020,
However, the official CDC website, shows 869.7 for 2019
Something, somewhere, does not add up.
Why, for example, does the 2020 CDC web page have a different death per 100K rate for 2019, than the actual 2019 page, and why was it adjusted DOWN, to show less deaths per 100K in 2019, when compared to the actual 2019 page?
Inquiring minds want to know.
Edited by HuskerJ 4/23/2021 11:44
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Total US deaths 2017 vs 2020
