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Something to ponder....
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coup
Posted 2/19/2021 21:10 (#8845639 - in reply to #8845544)
Subject: RE: Something to ponder....


USA
Joe R - 2/19/2021 19:39

What corn yield levels do you realistically estimate/forecast when doing projections for the coming year? Do you use a yield that you have never achieved? Do you use your all time record yield as a realistic goal?

If the USDA had used the all time record as their base line prediction this week.....we would have the 2nd or 3rd smallest stocks to use ratio in history. 2017 was the year....176.6bu/ac

They are penciling in 179.5. A number that has NEVER been achieved.....NEVER. And they’ve got it penciled in.

I don't waste time doing projections. Buy crop insurance and figure that is the least amount of gross $ am going to get for that year.. Provided I get planted by late plant date and keep breathing.
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