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MN | I think Biden wins; and it's probably not particularly close. Stocks rally pretty substantially on stimulus hopes. ($2.2 probably blows up to $3T+ if Blue House and Senate). If Trump concedes and agrees to peaceful transitions we'll really *really* rally.
If Trump wins but we see a Blue House and Red Senate, I think we get somewhat of a sell-off. More gamesmanship and status quo here I think would probably be unwelcomed by the market.
Trump wins but we see a blue house blue senate (which I think is least likely outcome) we probably rally substantially.
Theme here being, how fast and how much will the market price in a stimulus package.
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