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SE IL | Thanks for posting, neat chart on the fall ins price. I have a question. If your method of using options and volitility to predict price were back tested over the past decade or so, do they tend to be a leading, lagging, or simply real time indicator? I guess looking at fundamentals, and if we are close to a seasonal high like we normally would be, $3.00 or below would seem more likely than your chart shows. A $.50 drop from where we are today wouldnt be a big downward seasonal move by many measures.
Edit to add: keep in mind I am a novice at all of this.
Edited by Deere6 6/13/2020 07:10
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