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Dpilot83 forecast ??
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neukm
Posted 3/31/2020 20:01 (#8154586 - in reply to #8154379)
Subject: RE: Dpilot83 forecast ??


EC IL
Well, I was also making the assumption that the percentage of positive tests would start to decline as testing ramped up and social distancing reduced the R0, and the virus would be contained. This does not seem to be happening in Illinois....the percentage started to decline for several days, but since has reversed and is increasing, somewhat dramatically. Which is concerning to me!

I do not believe we have already exposed a large majority of people, percentage of positive tests is still too low for that.





Edited by neukm 3/31/2020 20:02
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