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Teetering on the abyss!
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southlafarmer
Posted 2/16/2019 08:05 (#7323848 - in reply to #7323725)
Subject: RE: Teetering on the abyss!


roarintiger1 - 2/16/2019 07:04

Don Smith - 2/15/2019 18:49

FWIW, soybeans closed today about 1% below their uptrending 100 day linear trend. If linear trend is intrinsic value, then soybeans are trading 1% below their intrinsic value.

As always, past performance is no guarantee of future performance. However; 100 day linear regression suggests US soybeans are currently on sale at 1% discount.


Compared to 5 or 6 years ago, they are selling at a very large discount. Of course, all farm commodities are "on sale", while the price of farm inputs continue to rise with no end in sight. The USDA's commitment to an affordable food supply has never worked better. End users never had it so good.


Yea $4 corn and $9 beans are on sale

Fert is barely up from last year and way down from what it was 5-7 years ago, so is diesel
Chemicals are barely up this year from last.
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