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Ol’ Wisco | Yea I did crumby job stating that question after I reread it. So I changed it up a little.
You are going to get what you expect to yield as of today in all situations.
December corn is going to end Oct 1 (changed for storage vs no storage) at $3 or $5 with equal probability of both.
You have the option to own $4 short futures for your entire expected crop on Oct 1. and futures could be $3 or $5.
Do you take the $4 or take your chances on $3 or $5? | |
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