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Ethanol update.
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JonSCKs
Posted 1/25/2019 10:11 (#7271446)
Subject: Ethanol update.


This week's update finds.. Ethanol production down 20 k bbls vs Last week down 0.8% yoy, Domestic Blended up 19 k bbls and up 0.7% yoy, while Ethanol Stocks are up 150 k bbls for the week.. DOWN for the first time year on year at 23.5 million bbls vs 23.8 million bbls last year.

Implied exports at 886 k bbls are a little softer but we are still having a good month already up to 3.3 million bbls.. (estimated.)

The Average blend rate at 9.98% is up 1.7% on the Year.. so ethanol is having success penetrating the domestic market moving MORE ethanol while Gasoline supplied is actually DOWN 1% on the year.

Overall.. could be better.. could be worse.. so overall not bad.

          Computed          
 Weekly Production      number to balanceComputedActualTotal Weekly bu  Weekly US  
Week Blenders InputImportsStocksCapacityResidual and exportsExportsExportsEthanolGrindMonthlyYearSupplied Finished 
 Ethanol k bbls/dayk bbls /dayk bbls /day k bbls k bbls k bbls /dayk bblsMonthlyEIAdemand  myn buMotor Gasoline 
        37,936       2.85conversion Ethanol as % of
                      
9/7/20181020 918 0 22,89460% 74.7 523  992.7105,221  96499.51% 
9/14/20181051 928 0 22,74660% 144.1 1009  1072.1108,419  95349.73% 
9/21/20181036 901 0 22,62960% 151.7 1062  1052.7106,872  898710.03% 
9/28/20181015 917 0 23,44562% -18.6 -13024642141898.4104,705  910210.07% 
10/5/20181040 913 71 24,02163% 115.7 810  1028.7107,284  907810.06% 
10/12/20181011 933 0 24,13064% 62.4 437  995.4104,293  918210.16% 
10/19/20181024 940 15 23,89763% 132.3 926  1072.3105,634  932410.08% 
10/26/20181059 936 0 22,74660% 287.4 2012418541781223.4109,244  926210.11% 
11/2/20181068 917 0 23,15061% 93.3 653  1010.3110,173  909910.08% 
11/9/20181067 926 37 23,51462% 126.0 882  1052.0110,069  919210.07% 
11/16/20181042 928 0 22,79160% 217.3 1521  1145.3107,491  918510.10% 
11/23/20181048 924 0 22,93060% 104.1 729  1028.1108,109  918810.06% 
11/30/20181069 896 0 23,03061% 158.7 11114896 1054.7110,276  887710.09% 
12/7/20181046 910 0 22,89060% 156.0 1092  1066.0107,903  903610.07% 
12/14/20181046 924 0 23,87363% -18.4 -129  905.6107,903  924310.00% 
12/21/20181042 935 0 23,13361% 212.7 1489  1147.7107,491  934810.00% 
12/28/20181011 868 0 23,16261% 138.9 9723424 1006.9104,293  862310.07% 
1/4/20191000 815 0 23,25461% 171.9 1203  986.9103,158  87359.33% 
1/11/20191051 862 0 23,35162% 175.1 1226  1037.1108,419  856510.06% 
1/18/20191031 883 0 23,50162% 126.6 8863315 1009.6106,356  88689.96% 
                      
18/19 MY 20 wks1038.9 908.7 6.2 23254.461.3% 130.6 914.23742.33159.51039.3107,166  9103.99.98% 
17/18 MY 21 wks1047.3 902.6 5.1 21862.657.6% 132.8 929.84053.02809.81035.4108,036  9194.89.82% 
                -870.2     
18/19 vs 17/18-0.8% 0.7% 20.7% 6.4%  -1.7% -1.7%-7.7%12.4%0.4%-0.8%  -1.0%1.7% 
            estimatedReported      
 1062 826 Last year23800.0yr ago             
   -8.9 Lost per week           9313.9  

 

Weekly production number http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=pet&s=w_epooxe_yop_nus_mbbld&f=w

Weekly Blenders Input.. http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=pet&s=w_epooxe_yir_nus_mbbld&f=w

Weekly Imports of Ethanol http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=W_EPOOXE_IM0_NUS-Z00_MBBLD&f=W

Weekly Stocks number http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=W_EPOOXE_SAE_NUS_MBBL&f=W

Weekly US Product Supplied of Finished Motor Gasoline http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WGFUPUS2&f=W

Monthly US Exports of Ethanol http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=M_EPOOXE_EEX_NUS-Z00_MBBL&f=M

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