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Let's try this!
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J P
Posted 1/17/2019 21:51 (#7252659 - in reply to #7252475)
Subject: RE: Let's try this!


tink - 1/17/2019 20:46

J P - 1/17/2019 20:30 Nope. Just an eyeball thing. Couldn't careless about it either way to be honest. My apologizes on wheat. I obviously read too much into what little info you gave..lol. Take care


As I thought.

You mentioned the ability of forks to forecast the price of corn one hundred years out, but it was just an eyeball thing with gold and silver.

It's been decades since advanced statistics with calculus, and, admittedly a little rusty, but it's looking fresh and lively, when examining your comments. Any error committed in your method grows exponentially. 



I respectfully disagree. What I stated was price could be predicted much longer than you suggested. If we have enough data, in theory anyway we should be able to come pretty close. I eye ball things all the time. I can quickly look at a chart and know if there is something I might be intrested in. If an opportunity I am looking at is a 3 months away, do I need to watch everday...? No. In the case of those, maybe it goes horizontal long enough that time catches up and it never reaches those levels. Posdible sure. In the meantime there will be wiggles, just not what I am looking for so I brush over it. It might work for you and that works for me.

Not perfect, nor is anyone else.

Take care


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