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Why we should sell spring rallies
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JonSCKs
Posted 11/21/2017 08:22 (#6379337 - in reply to #6379014)
Subject: hmmm.. so lets look at this..


So Let's look at this..



You got 71.9 bu in 74/75..  La Nina... In it.

19731.81.20.5-0.1-0.5-0.9-1.1-1.3-1.5-1.7-1.9-2.0
1974-1.8-1.6-1.2-1.0-0.9-0.8-0.5-0.4-0.4-0.6-0.8-0.6
1975-0.5-0.6-0.7-0.7-0.8-1.0-1.1-1.2-1.4-1.4-1.6-1.7



81.1 in 83/84.. From El to La.. from 1.5 to -0.5 La Nina

19820.00.10.20.50.70.70.81.11.62.02.22.2
19832.21.91.51.31.10.70.3-0.1-0.5-0.8-1.0-0.9
1984-0.6-0.4-0.3-0.4-0.5-0.4-0.3-0.2-0.2-0.6-0.9-1.1


84.6 in 88/89.. from El 0.8 to La Nina -1.3 by summer


19871.21.21.10.91.01.21.51.71.61.51.31.1
19880.80.50.1-0.3-0.9-1.3-1.3-1.1-1.2-1.5-1.8-1.8
1989-1.7-1.4-1.1-0.8-0.6-0.4-0.3-0.3-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.1


100.7 in 93/94 hmmm.. not so much.. Nada..

19921.71.61.51.31.10.70.40.1-0.1-0.2-0.3-0.1
19930.10.30.50.70.70.60.30.30.20.10.00.1
19940.10.10.20.30.40.40.40.40.60.71.01.1


129.4 in 03/04.. went from El 0.9 to Nada.. -0.3

2002-0.10.00.10.20.40.70.80.91.01.21.31.1
20030.90.60.40.0-0.3-0.20.10.20.30.30.40.4
20040.40.30.20.20.20.30.50.60.70.70.70.7


And 146.8 then to 123.9 in 2011 and 2012.. for 2 years back to back.. BIG LA Nina..

20101.51.30.90.4-0.1-0.6-1.0-1.4-1.6-1.7-1.7-1.6
2011-1.4-1.1-0.8-0.6-0.5-0.4-0.5-0.7-0.9-1.1-1.1-1.0
2012-0.8-0.6-0.5-0.4-0.20.10.30.30.30.20.0-0.2


.. I think I see a pattern here... ;-o

9 La Nina's since 73..and 74.. and your pricing opportunities hit 5 of them.

THAT's WHY I pay attention to this!!



Edited by JonSCKs 11/21/2017 08:24
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