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mn | I think there is more than one set of "ideal conditions". Such as last year. We were bone dry to start and lacked rain through the summer. But the dryness early on allowed the roots to go down deep. The year before we had OK planting conditions and got pretty good summer rains. Both had different conditions, but both produced good crops. From what I saw from Snodgrass this morning it looks like there is pretty good model agreement on a July/August/September hot/dry scenario centered over IA and southern MN. Wet planting with a dry summer produces much less yield than dry planting with a dry summer. Plus the crop is going in 3 weeks later. (here anyway). Add that to TX, KS, and NE already dry and forecast to stay hot and dry. I'm not killing the crop, but I'm not putting it in the bin yet either. I don't think it will take much of a hiccup to hold or increase prices. | |
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