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Black swan event
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john holland
Posted 5/16/2022 16:26 (#9663070 - in reply to #9662963)
Subject: RE: Black swan event


SE MN
Putin keels over, his replacement says that Russia will withdraw and help Ukraine rebuild if the world accepts their commodities and helps them build out more capacity for commodity production.

China invades Taiwan and declares an end to all trade and cooperation with the US.

Putin detonates a nuke on NATO land? Not sure about that, probably a drop on the uncertainty followed by a spike on disrupted production and hardening of sanctions on Russia.

Everything else I can think of would take time to play out.

PS Alien invasion
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