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W1891 it's worse than 2012 nationally
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neukm
Posted 6/20/2021 11:17 (#9068370 - in reply to #9068326)
Subject: RE: W1891 it's worse than 2012 nationally


EC IL

Yes absolutely, if we have cooler than average temperatures and above average precipitation. There is certainly 4-5 days of cooler temperatures on the way, but beyond that, I'm not sure the uncertainty is settled.


Yes, most dryland corn in 2012 was reduced in yield significantly, but your statewide numbers support my point I believe. A lot of corn is produced in the eastern SD, northern IA, southern MN area and if they experienced a scenario similar to S/SE IL in 2012, it would result in a correspondingly larger hit to national production. But is that even possible, I don't know. Maybe they have good enough soils to buffer the possibility, I'm not sure how long it's been since that area had large yield reductions due to drought.
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