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Have a plan....
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NEIAAG
Posted 11/15/2025 16:14 (#11435794 - in reply to #11435364)
Subject: RE: Have a plan....


JC STONE - 11/15/2025 08:04

Many are desperately trying to be bullish. I would like to see your work on a chart to confirm what you are saying.
One thing that makes me hesitant to think price will go that low is inflation may have set a higher floor. Mid 3's instead of low 3's.
Again would like to see a visual.
This turn could be a game changer.
Also what price would be needed for you to say I'm wrong


I am trying to as well. One of the curses of being able to see prices potential moves so far ahead, is that I also can see the makings of record highs in the future. But it's a process one thing cannot happen til the other does.

Chart would be pretty pointless. It's a price structure thing and it is me combining the information from many charts to form the outcome. I sure hope that is the case and if it is then we will get 5 years of horizontal price action which is still gonna be painful. But it doesn't appear to me to be the case and assuming I have anchored my work correctly, then there are serious issues ahead.

What could change my mind...
Corn making new highs week could confirm to me that there's another 30 or 40 cents on the table. I don't think that the case but it is one possible scenario. New crop corn is just ugly. I don't like it at all. Continuous Z charts are very concerning and that really adds to my level of concern. Tonme that chart is very concerning and I wonder whats in our future to cause that....100 mil acres? Another new record IDK. But there's something big brewing.


Beans.. I wouldnt be surprised if beans tested those highs again. But if they fail, don't be screwing around IMHO. New crop is on a different path. I actually think there's a high probability that beans next fall might be surprising. I don't grow them but I am considering some because of they outlook.

Bullish....how about oats? They reached the 280 level that I suggested they would some months ago and popped out there looking good so far. Hopefully they are the first in a line of others to follow.

Take care

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