|
| RIGHT NOW The morning radar shows almost all areas of the Plains and Midwest are rain free. A few scattered showers over far southeast ILL and southwest IND and over central and western NEB HIGH RESOLUTION / DETAILED RADAR
WHAT HAPPENED SUNDAY NIGHT?
SUNDAY MAX TEMPS... click HERE South of the front Temps were Above Normal... Indy was 71 Columbus OH 73 St Louis 76 Little Rock 80 . The Upper Plains and Upper Midwest was seasonal
RAINFALL SUNDAY - MONDAY Moderate to heavy rains fell over NY state and New England... light rains over the Upper WCB and Great Lakes... and Light rains over central MT
SHORT TERM (next 60 hrs ) APRIL 2-3
Strong Low pressure area which moves into the Pacific NW overnight will develop as it pulls out of the Rockies tonight and Tuesday. This was the system that last week the weather models kept flip-flopping back and forth as to how much rain was going to produce over the Midwest. This Low pressure area will drop significant rain over portions of southern MN and much of IA overnight into Tuesday morning... 60% coverage of 0.15 to 1.00" . As the Low develops it is going to pull in a ton of cold air which will eventually dominate the entire Plains and Midwest by the middle of the week. However on Tuesday the rain will turn the snow portions of the Dakotas & MN ... and significant snow could fall over portions of northern WI and Northern MI as this system really gets cranked up Tuesday night into Wednesday morning.
Over the Midwest Northeast Deep South as well as the central . Lower Plains temperatures will be WARM with lots of readings in the 70s to perhaps near 80° before the cold front sweeps thorough.
MEDIUM RANGE APRIL 4 - 8 The model that continues to show impressive ARCTIC outbreak for early April coming into the Upper Plains the Midwest the Northeast and even into the Deep South. The Low pressure area over the eastern Great Lakes and southern Québec will combine with the strong large cold High over central Canada and developing strong north wind over the Midwest and Northeast on the 4th & 5th. Some of the weather models are showing temperatures dropping into the teens over the Dakotas Minnesota Northern Iowa as well as northern Nebraska and into Michigan and much of New England on the 5th 6th and 7th and afternoon Max temperatures staying in the 30s...
WHAT COULD GO WRONG; The cold is here and it will be impressive. The 2nd cold shot looks a bit weaker on this morning models
WEEK 2 APRIL 9-15 .
Overnight and new Midday data data breaks the pattern down a bit faster.... with a major trough moving into the West coast by April 11. The Low moves into Plains by 4/12 and into the Midwest by 4/13th with good rains rains and large coverage. http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/06/images/gfs_slp_252s.gif
This is followed by a large and bigger Low for 4/15 and 4/16. If this model depiction of conditions of these 2 events are correct there will be big increase in TALK of what a crappy April it is turning to be http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/06/images/gfs_slp_324s.gif
WHAT COULD GO WRONG; As a general rule cold weather patterns that breakdown in the early SPRING almost always lead to wet patterns and given how the models shows this happening I just cant forecast a anything but more excessive wetness / storminess
| |
|