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Weekly Crop Progress
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mjw82
Posted 8/21/2017 15:06 (#6201181)
Subject: Weekly Crop Progress


Lincoln, NE		Corn-62% good to excellent, 12% poor to very poor, 76% in the dough, 83% last year, 77% average, 29% dented, 37% last year, 35% average
Soybeans-60% good to excellent, 12% poor to very poor, 97% blooming, 98% last year, 97% average, 87% setting pods, 88% last year, 85% average
Winter wheat-harvest complete
Spring wheat-34% good to excellent, 42% poor to very poor, 58% complete with harvest 63% last year, 51% on average.
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SoDak Farms
Posted 8/21/2017 15:36 (#6201221 - in reply to #6201181)
Subject: Maps


EC SoDak		Ouch for IL.

Edited by SoDak Farms 8/21/2017 15:38




(IMG_20170821_153559.jpg)



(IMG_20170821_153605.jpg)



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Attachments IMG_20170821_153559.jpg (64KB - 23 downloads)
Attachments IMG_20170821_153605.jpg (67KB - 18 downloads)
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Honkytonkman
Posted 8/21/2017 15:38 (#6201224 - in reply to #6201221)
Subject: RE: Maps, wow!!


IL can't be that bad!
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SoDak Farms
Posted 8/21/2017 15:43 (#6201235 - in reply to #6201224)
Subject: RE: Maps, wow!!


EC SoDak		I'm surprised they only lowered beans 3 if corns down that much.
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Honkytonkman
Posted 8/21/2017 15:47 (#6201246 - in reply to #6201235)
Subject: RE: Maps, wow!!


Probably more evidence that these ratings aren't terribly well thought out.
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sand85
Posted 8/21/2017 17:11 (#6201410 - in reply to #6201246)
Subject: RE: Maps, wow!!


C IL

The beans look good from the road here .... pods pretty flat.

Mostly 3.8's and 4.1's with fungicides here.  Maybe we can catch a September rain.  No more pods but chance at some non-flat pods. 

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boatload
Posted 8/21/2017 15:57 (#6201266 - in reply to #6201224)
Subject: RE: Maps, wow!!


west central Iowa		North Dakota about the same as Illinois for corn.
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SoDak Farms
Posted 8/21/2017 16:03 (#6201280 - in reply to #6201266)
Subject: RE: Maps, wow!!


EC SoDak		Us Dakota boys are rallying back. Haha
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Honkytonkman
Posted 8/21/2017 16:06 (#6201287 - in reply to #6201280)
Subject: RE: Maps, wow!!


I got told earlier that corn planted in May won't benefit from recent rain. Lol.
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SoDak Farms
Posted 8/21/2017 16:11 (#6201295 - in reply to #6201287)
Subject: RE: Maps, wow!!


EC SoDak		Lol. That would not be the case here. We are needing more gdus asap though.
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FromtheFlats
Posted 8/21/2017 16:17 (#6201306 - in reply to #6201224)
Subject: RE: Maps, wow!!


EC IL		Some areas have gotten a rain but a very large percentage of Illinois has had a very dry August. We aren't finishing very strong in my area that much is for certain.
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Istumped
Posted 8/21/2017 18:05 (#6201509 - in reply to #6201224)
Subject: RE: Maps, wow!!


ne il
Honkytonkman - 8/21/2017 03:38

IL can't be that bad!




Yes it can. Will be a lot of surprised farmers this year. It's not all roses.
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AGDEAL
Posted 8/21/2017 21:51 (#6202237 - in reply to #6201509)
Subject: RE: Maps, wow!!


Illinois		I expect 50 bushel less than last year here at my place
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JUST LEARNING
Posted 8/21/2017 16:30 (#6201336 - in reply to #6201221)
Subject: CO up 9 to 81


KS and NE in eastern 3rd		2 more weeks and they will have to find another state to offset the Midwest.
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1586
Posted 8/21/2017 16:31 (#6201340 - in reply to #6201336)
Subject: RE: CO up 9 to 81


JUST LEARNING - 8/21/2017 15:30

2 more weeks and they will have to find another state to offset the Midwest.


You mean screwing with Texas and PA wasn't enough?
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maxflex540
Posted 8/21/2017 17:55 (#6201496 - in reply to #6201221)
Subject: RE: Maps


NW Iowa		PA continues to climb the ladder to 100%. Wonder what the record is for highest G/E rating at the end of the year?
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WTF2014
Posted 8/22/2017 10:38 (#6203034 - in reply to #6201496)
Subject: RE: Maps


CIL
maxflex540 - 8/21/2017 17:55

PA continues to climb the ladder to 100%. Wonder what the record is for highest G/E rating at the end of the year?


My first thought was..."How fast can the Amish put up corn cribs?"

Second question...."Do they use corn cribs?"
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1234
Posted 8/21/2017 16:44 (#6201360 - in reply to #6201181)
Subject: RE: Just out of curiosity I re-ran my ....



Death comes to us all. Life's but a walking shadow		I re ran my crop condition model using week 33 data for Illinois. The decline in crop conditions brought corn down 1.3 bushel from last week, 186.8 down from 188.1. This compares with USDA's estimate last week of 188 for Ill. With an expected 10.950,000 corn acres harvested for grain this is equivalent to 14.2 million bushels less.
It is a general observation across most crop condition analysis that crop condition observations under estimates the higher than average yields and over estimates the lower than average yields. I suspect that is a natural bias of observers. The observers are more likely to say," it can't be that good" when it's good and more likely to say, " it can't be that bad" when it's bad. If this holds true in Ill. I would anticipate Ill coming in lower still.



(Ill wk 33 crop condition-page-001.jpg)



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Attachments Ill wk 33 crop condition-page-001.jpg (66KB - 10 downloads)
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blackcoffee94
Posted 8/21/2017 18:00 (#6201505 - in reply to #6201360)
Subject: RE: Just out of curiosity I re-ran my ....


Central, IL		Here is my rain gauge for this month and this year. This is in an area of 200 bushel/acre averages on corn the last several years and upper 60's to mid 70's on beans the last few years. We don't have that this year.



(IMG_0663.PNG)



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Attachments IMG_0663.PNG (139KB - 44 downloads)
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kb12473
Posted 8/21/2017 23:24 (#6202420 - in reply to #6201181)
Subject: RE: Weekly Crop Progress


haven't drove from Illinois to Wyoming but can say in 50 mile radius crops look from excellent to crap and the excellent areas might be a 5 mile radius and the rest below average and sorry to say feel sorry for some hope you took the high level of federal crop cause I wep in some spots Sunday as we drove by
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