Centre county Pennsylvania, USA | NASS corn yield forecasts have enjoyed remarkable accuracy. Attached chart shows target scoring for NASS corn yield forecasts for every year since 2003. Blue is the bulls eye (actual yield) for each year, red on each year are the 4 NASS corn yield forecasts each year. Zoom in on the 2012 target , NASS forecast scoring for 2012 is better than expert snipers can do at 1000 yards, and NASS is shooting a 3 month range to target for it's Aug forecast.
 (NASS_corn_yield_forecast_scoring.png)
Attachments
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 NASS_corn_yield_forecast_scoring.png (51KB - 62 downloads)
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Yield estimates
