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Vailcat: Wheat Spread Question
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vailcat
Posted 12/18/2014 13:41 (#4248968 - in reply to #4248955)
Subject: RE: Vailcat: Wheat Spread Question


NCND
1100 margin per contract.

Ya been a real fun ride thus far.

I added a May KC over May Chicago today.

You don't add to losing positions .... thats why I did the KC over CHi :)

Spring wheat spreads use to be zero margin.

I won't make predictions but my gut tells me I'm going to get punished until they stop buying wheat and we take a breather. Could be easy to gain 10 back in a day. Have to see when it comes. Ugly close for wheat today. Chicago March was 24 off the highs.

2008 Chi had a buck premium to MW. Then 30 days later MW had a 12 buck premium to CHicago. We won't goto +12 on Minny but it is the cheapest wheat out there. Maybe by years end it turns. In meantime I'm just going to take my lumps. She has been a relentless beating.

As Ray Liotta says in the greatest movie of all time "Goodfellas",
"Every now and then you gotta take a beating."
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