hmmm.. good work.. let me look.

Okay got to update crop progress.. harvesting.. is..

Corn Harvested - Selected States
[These 18 States planted 91% of the 2013 corn acreage]
------------------------------------------------------------------------
                :               Week ending               :            
                :-----------------------------------------:            
      State     : October 19, : October 12, : October 19, :  2009-2013 
                :    2013     :    2014     :    2014     :   Average  
------------------------------------------------------------------------
                :                        percent                       
                :                                                      
Colorado .......:     38            14            30            44     
Illinois .......:     49            35            43            63     
Indiana ........:     42            25            31            51     
Iowa ...........:     34            10            19            53     
Kansas .........:     66            56            66            75     
Kentucky .......:     64            71            76            79     
Michigan .......:     20             7            10            30     
Minnesota ......:     18             7            16            47     
Missouri .......:     61            51            58            75     
Nebraska .......:     31            19            28            45     
North Carolina .:     95            85            89            95     
North Dakota ...:     13             2             7            37     
Ohio ...........:     30            17            23            32     
Pennsylvania ...:     43            22            28            41     
South Dakota ...:     30            12            19            45     
Tennessee ......:     70            82            88            85     
Texas ..........:     76            70            76            87     
Wisconsin ......:     26             7            11            35     
                :                                                      
18 States ......:     38            24            31            53     
------------------------------------------------------------------------

http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/usda/current/CropProg/CropProg-10-20-2014.txt

hmm.. can't remember the yield.. USDA was at like 14,45'ish crop..??  Last report.. I'll bump my yield up to 176 to more closely match that.. ("wrong but close..") and updating crop progress numbers the orange are actual.. the rest guestimates.. We keep falling further behind last year.. big crop.. nobody wants to pay drying.. so far.  and Viola..

I'm still ASSUMING that we are NOT going to be 100% harvested before Dec 1st stocks report.. hence.. pretty likely that we will not have stocks greater than a year ago.. ?? "could be wrong.."  Again this table is CALIBRATED off of Quarterly stocks for Useage.. but.. when I get time.. and with the next report.. which Dec 1st end of Dec.. will be more accurate..

Just me.. but I think you can add.. RECORD RESIDUAL useage to all the other records.. so.. I don't buy the 2 byn bu corn carry out.. but.. "that's just me."

fwiw..  "Not a solicitation to trade.. people can and do lose $$$ trading.. well.. anything.. in cash.. futures.. or whatever..blah blah blah.."

"I could be wrong.."

ps this lines up well with what I'm seeing here.. useage at 2% of the crop per week is keeping up pretty well with harvest.. I posted that I did not see much piling out side.. well next day.. went by one.. but again it's because people do NOT want to sell at these low prices.. Buyers still need corn.. but needs so far being met.. we'll need MORE soon.. so once harvest gets tucked away.. maybe trucks can start pulling from places further North East down to "this neck of the woods.."  (Don't think I can find any that want to go to NY though.. ???  Have to be a heck of a back haul..  ;-)