| "You're GOING to PLANT every SINGLE ACRE allowable by Ma Nature..." blah blah blah.. So.. did we PLANT EVERY SINGLE ACRE in 2013? Cause and ONLY looking at Corn and Beans.. 2013 Corn 95.365 myn + Soybeans 76.533 = 171.898 While in 2014 NASS is Currently SHOWING us.. C 91.641 + S 84.839 = 176.48 Looks like we planted Every Single Acre plus about 4.582 myn more...?!? Where the HECK did THAT come from? I know North Dakota eh? where ELSE...??? http://www.usda.gov/nass/PUBS/TODAYRPT/acrg0614.txt Percent of Soybean Acreage Planted Following Another Harvested Crop - Selected States and United States: 2010-2014 [Data as obtained from area frame samples. These data do not represent official estimates of the Agricultural Statistics Board but provide raw data as obtained from survey respondents. The purpose of these data is to portray trends in soybean production practices] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : 2010 : 2011 : 2012 : 2013 : 2014 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : percent Alabama .......: 14 56 35 60 39 Arkansas ......: 5 12 13 16 11 Delaware ......: 23 64 60 70 58 Florida .......: (Z) (Z) (D) (D) (D) Georgia .......: 19 29 33 68 51 Illinois ......: 2 4 5 7 4 Indiana .......: 2 3 2 4 2 Kansas ........: 3 7 12 13 12 Kentucky ......: 13 30 29 41 31 Louisiana .....: 10 18 9 19 7 : Maryland ......: 16 44 40 62 58 Mississippi ...: 3 14 12 17 8 Missouri ......: 4 10 8 11 10 New Jersey ....: 14 24 19 15 15 North Carolina : 26 47 55 61 45 Ohio ..........: (Z) 1 (Z) 1 (Z) Oklahoma ......: 28 30 73 42 62 Pennsylvania ..: 10 16 24 12 16 South Carolina : 28 45 56 84 60 Tennessee .....: 17 20 31 35 36 : Texas .........: 1 (Z) (Z) (Z) (Z) Virginia ......: 24 48 34 45 41 West Virginia .: (Z) 50 (Z) 11 27 : United States .: 3 6 7 10 7 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- (D) Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. (Z) Less than half of the unit shown. Now let's dump this into our spreadsheet and see what we are talking about.. | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Double Cropping.. | | | | | | | | | | | | ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- | | : Area harvested : Yield / acre : Production | | | State % double crop Production | | | Acres | Myn bu | | ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- | | : 1,000 acres : --bushels-- : -- 1,000 bu -- | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Alabama | | 500 | | | | 41.0 | | | 20,500 | 39% | 195 | 7,995 | | Arkansas | | 3,350 | | | | 46.0 | | | 154,100 | 11% | 368.5 | 16,951 | | Delaware | | 183 | | | | 42.0 | | | 7,686 | 58% | 106.14 | 4,458 | | Georgia | | 270 | | | | 37.0 | | | 9,990 | 51% | 137.7 | 5,095 | | Illinois | | 10,050 | | | | 54.0 | | | 542,700 | 4% | 402 | 21,708 | | Indiana | | 5,490 | | | | 51.0 | | | 279,990 | 2% | 109.8 | 5,600 | | Iowa | | 10,040 | | | | 50.0 | | | 502,000 | | 0 | 0 | | Kansas | | 4,190 | | | | 36.0 | | | 150,840 | 12% | 502.8 | 18,101 | | Kentucky | | 1,690 | | | | 40.0 | | | 67,600 | 31% | 523.9 | 20,956 | | Louisiana | | 1,440 | | | | 50.0 | | | 72,000 | 7% | 100.8 | 5,040 | | : | | 0 | 0 | | Maryland | | 495 | | | | 44.0 | | | 21,780 | 58% | 287.1 | 12,632 | | Michigan | | 2,290 | | | | 44.0 | | | 100,760 | | 0 | 0 | | Minnesota | 7,420 | | | | 42.0 | | | 311,640 | | 0 | 0 | | Mississippi | 2,220 | | | | 48.0 | | | 106,560 | 8% | 177.6 | 8,525 | | Missouri | | 5,650 | | | | 44.0 | | | 248,600 | 10% | 565 | 24,860 | | Nebraska | | 5,350 | | | | 52.0 | | | 278,200 | | 0 | 0 | | New Jersey | 93 | | | | 40.0 | | | 3,720 | 15% | 13.95 | 558 | | New York | | 397 | | | | 49.0 | | | 19,453 | | 0 | 0 | | North Carolina | 1,670 | | | | 37.0 | | | 61,790 | 45% | 751.5 | 27,806 | | North Dakota | 5,950 | | | | 32.0 | | | 190,400 | | 0 | 0 | | : | | 0 | 0 | | Ohio | | 4,940 | | | | 49.0 | | | 242,060 | | 0 | 0 | | Oklahoma | 295 | | | | 31.0 | | | 9,145 | 62% | 182.9 | 5,670 | | Pennsylvania | 600 | | | | 49.0 | | | 29,400 | 16% | 96 | 4,704 | | South Carolina | 440 | | | | 29.0 | | | 12,760 | 60% | 264 | 7,656 | | South Dakota | 4,910 | | | | 40.0 | | | 196,400 | | 0 | 0 | | Tennessee | 1,580 | | | | 44.0 | | | 69,520 | 36% | 568.8 | 25,027 | | Texas | | 125 | | | | 27.0 | | | 3,375 | | 0 | 0 | | Virginia | | 590 | | | | 40.0 | | | 23,600 | 41% | 241.9 | 9,676 | | Wisconsin | 1,780 | | | | 43.0 | | | 76,540 | | 0 | 0 | | : | | | | | Other States 1/ | 60 | | | | 42.8 | | | 2,568 | | 289 | fudge | | : | | | | | United States ......: 75,869 84,058 43.3 45.4 3,288,833 3,815,679 | 84,058 | | | | 45.4 | | | 3,815,677 | 7% | 5884.39 | 233,017 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5884.06 | |
Kansas is Actually the THIRD highest Double Cropped Soybean State behind North Carolina that does 751 k acres and Tenn at 569..(whoops edit to fix..) Mizzou is third 565, Kentucky fourth at 524 then Kansas is fifth at 503 k.. and I think THIS YEAR.. that number is HIGH. There's a significant area east of me.. that will Double crop.. SE Ks.. and what I call the I-35 Corridor.. that will DOUBLE CROP DRYLAND Soybeans.. that LAST year with 15" upwards of 25" of rain (over there) in LH July FH August.. probably did..?? 25.. to 35 bu DRYLAND soybeans.. that this year..?? 15'ish.. The year I tried dryland d/c it made.. 2. (I cut the mudhole and moved on.. "well that was fun..") Again in 2013.. we did BOOKOO acres.. Next year probably ZIPPO. Looking at this chart.. and No I do NOT expect Double CROP acres to YIELD what Full Season will.. in some cases they can.. but NOT THIS YEAR HERE... heck may not get anything on the irrigated.. we hope for..40 bu plus.. maybe 50's.. probably 35's.. hoping for 30's this year.. need ANOTHER 3.5 WEEKS YET!!! So that 233 Myn BUSHELS of Double Crop Beanies.. look "at risk" (other than the South and Carolina's.. ) Okay well then the 15'ish Myn bushels of D/C Beanies in KANSAS at least look at risk.. to me. FURTHERMORE.. did we REALLY PLANT 5.89 MYN Acres to D/C Beanies.. "IF REALIZED.." I can tell you right now.. KANSAS is NOT going to plant 12% of beanies as D/C next year.. "bye bye.." and I expect the pencil works the same in a lot of other area's...
Edited by JonSCKs 9/17/2014 22:43
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