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S Illinois | The most likely scenerio would be that we intended to plant 93 and with the normal historical non-plantings(PP, switching acres) a 92 million number is put out. Last year we lost 1.9 million corn acres from the March report to final. Instead of 1-1.5 million acres not being planted like a normal year, we had a high corn PP plant of 3 million plus acres. In 2012 the opposite happened and we increased acres by 1.4 million from the March report due to a very small PP number and less switching.
Every year we lose some due to weather. That March report is the most fluid( and most useless). There has been up to a 3.8 million acre difference in that report and the final. Each succeeding report takes into more and more data thereby getting closer and closer to final. Their models do take into account historical PP, abandonment, and switching due to wet spring weather. | |
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