AgTalk Home
AgTalk Home
Search Forums | Classifieds | Skins | Language
You are logged in as a guest. ( logon | register )

IL corn acre predictions are problematic
View previous thread :: View next thread
   Forums List -> Market TalkMessage format
 
w1891
Posted 9/1/2014 07:13 (#4049746 - in reply to #4048991)
Subject: RE: w1891, you mean that...............


S Illinois
The most likely scenerio would be that we intended to plant 93 and with the normal historical non-plantings(PP, switching acres) a 92 million number is put out. Last year we lost 1.9 million corn acres from the March report to final. Instead of 1-1.5 million acres not being planted like a normal year, we had a high corn PP plant of 3 million plus acres. In 2012 the opposite happened and we increased acres by 1.4 million from the March report due to a very small PP number and less switching.

Every year we lose some due to weather. That March report is the most fluid( and most useless). There has been up to a 3.8 million acre difference in that report and the final. Each succeeding report takes into more and more data thereby getting closer and closer to final. Their models do take into account historical PP, abandonment, and switching due to wet spring weather.
Top of the page Bottom of the page


Jump to forum :
Search this forum
Printer friendly version
E-mail a link to this thread

(Delete cookies)