| Here's the EIA data.. http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?f=M&n=PET&s=MCRFPND1 | North Dakota Field Production of Crude Oil (Thousand Barrels) | |
Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
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Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
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2005 | 2,797 | 2,590 | 2,957 | 2,820 | 2,889 | 2,869 | 3,039 | 3,097 | 3,041 | 3,188 | 3,155 | 3,232 | 2006 | 3,054 | 2,908 | 3,280 | 3,102 | 3,395 | 3,349 | 3,421 | 3,482 | 3,397 | 3,524 | 3,461 | 3,569 | 2007 | 3,566 | 3,268 | 3,661 | 3,560 | 3,737 | 3,671 | 3,834 | 3,866 | 3,812 | 4,007 | 3,923 | 4,217 | 2008 | 4,264 | 3,998 | 4,459 | 4,522 | 4,849 | 4,987 | 5,364 | 5,571 | 5,697 | 6,325 | 6,469 | 6,275 | 2009 | 5,820 | 5,386 | 6,055 | 5,901 | 6,386 | 6,452 | 7,064 | 7,203 | 7,140 | 7,440 | 7,375 | 7,507 | | 2010 | 7,329 | 7,319 | 8,607 | 8,556 | 9,268 | 9,444 | 9,973 | 10,230 | 10,299 | 10,660 | 10,711 | 10,668 | 2011 | 10,631 | 9,766 | 11,166 | 10,538 | 11,282 | 11,575 | 13,175 | 13,833 | 13,920 | 15,201 | 15,311 | 16,587 | 2012 | 16,586 | 16,199 | 17,902 | 18,285 | 19,839 | 19,939 | 20,964 | 21,744 | 21,877 | 23,226 | 22,052 | 23,873 | 2013 | 22,871 | 21,813 | 24,273 | 23,816 | 25,149 | 24,648 | 27,148 | 28,247 | 27,989 | 29,301 | 29,294 | 28,620 | 2014 | 28,927 | | | | | | | | | | | |
Say 28,927 k bbls/ month / 30 days = 964 k bbls per day.. (pretty close to the nation's ethanol production..but growing a little faster.. ;-) a 26% YoY increase.. and almost double January of 2012.. If you add 325 k bbls per day in pipeline capacity.. to the current mix.. you could handle.. 325 x 30 = 9,750 or 38,677'ish per month.. see growth curve above. or..1,289 k bbls per day. It would help. Just depends upon whether they keep the production curve going.. and how fast. No doubt if things continue your gonna need some pipeline help. Heck from the looks of things.. they could build Keystone just to North Dakota.. and stop for awhile as you guys could probably fill it.. 800 k bbls per day.. 24,000 k per month. Then continue on as other capacity caught up... ??? ... it's what I would do.
Edited by JonSCKs 4/18/2014 13:42
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