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long term corn and soybeans cash charts 1920-present
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OSUBucks
Posted 6/16/2018 15:05 (#6816066)
Subject: long term corn and soybeans cash charts 1920-present


Made them to see it better. These are logarithmic charts which show it better over the long term.
Like said yesterday, 5.50-6.00 the target in this cycle and 2.25 for corn. Yippie



Edited by OSUBucks 6/16/2018 15:09




(ZSY00_Barchart_Interactive_Chart_06_16_2018 (full).png)



(ZCY00_Barchart_Interactive_Chart_06_16_2018 (1) (full).png)



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Attachments ZSY00_Barchart_Interactive_Chart_06_16_2018 (full).png (56KB - 79 downloads)
Attachments ZCY00_Barchart_Interactive_Chart_06_16_2018 (1) (full).png (63KB - 82 downloads)
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JUST LEARNING
Posted 6/16/2018 15:10 (#6816069 - in reply to #6816066)
Subject: RE: long term corn and soybeans cash charts 1920-present


KS and NE in eastern 3rd		I'd be willing to make a wager that we hit 20 before we hit 6.
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JUST LEARNING
Posted 6/16/2018 15:13 (#6816071 - in reply to #6816066)
Subject: RE: long term corn and soybeans cash charts 1920-present


KS and NE in eastern 3rd		Put a trendline on off the 1940 lows and it's more like 8.
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OSUBucks
Posted 6/16/2018 15:17 (#6816079 - in reply to #6816071)
Subject: RE: long term corn and soybeans cash charts 1920-present


That is what you would call "curve fitting" to make a chart what you want it to look like.

If you did that you would be missing the 1960's cycle lows and 1920's pre depression prices.
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JUST LEARNING
Posted 6/16/2018 18:33 (#6816296 - in reply to #6816079)
Subject: RE: long term corn and soybeans cash charts 1920-present


KS and NE in eastern 3rd		A week and 20 cents ago you were bullish, hope you didn't pull the trigger down here. Good luck with your 6 dollars beans hopefully that isn't part of your maketing plan the next 3 years.
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OSUBucks
Posted 6/16/2018 15:19 (#6816083 - in reply to #6816071)
Subject: RE: long term corn and soybeans cash charts 1920-present


How can you even argue about this chart, on the top the trendline hit all the highs during that era, and on the bottom they also hit.

Its reality weather it happens next year or 5 years from now, the next 3-4 looks tough if we have a decent crop this year.
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Clay SEIA
Posted 6/16/2018 15:31 (#6816097 - in reply to #6816083)
Subject: RE: long term corn and soybeans cash charts 1920-present



OSUBucks - 6/16/2018 15:19

Its reality weather it happens next year or 5 years from now, the next 3-4 looks tough if we have a decent crop this year.


So... 3 of the last 4 US crops were huge or records with 2015 still being big, plus multiple record Brazilian soys in that period, yet we’ve still had prices at $4+ and $10+ but a decent 2018 crop is going to be the cause of doom? Maybe you should go relax with a cold beer instead of all this fear mongering.
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Hilltop Husker
Posted 6/16/2018 15:16 (#6816075 - in reply to #6816066)
Subject: RE: long term corn and soybeans cash charts 1920-present


Northern Nebraska		Why is the bottom line for the band the target VS the center median between the lines?
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w1891
Posted 6/16/2018 15:16 (#6816076 - in reply to #6816066)
Subject: RE: long term corn and soybeans cash charts 1920-present


S Illinois		At what point does it become making a chart to fit the narrative? Is switching to a logarithmic scale truly kosher when making charts?
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IN555
Posted 6/16/2018 15:23 (#6816087 - in reply to #6816066)
Subject: Lol


NW Indiana		You might as well bring up the price of tea in China. This chart means nothing to us producers. What if we remain sideways to slightly up and finally reach the lower line 25 years from now? Wouldn’t it be $10-12?But National avg is 68??
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JC STONE
Posted 6/16/2018 15:25 (#6816088 - in reply to #6816066)
Subject: RE: long term corn and soybeans cash charts 1920-present


Guess I better cancel the order for the new JD 700 series combine
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Clay SEIA
Posted 6/16/2018 15:36 (#6816101 - in reply to #6816088)
Subject: RE: long term corn and soybeans cash charts 1920-present



JC STONE - 6/16/2018 15:25

Guess I better cancel the order for the new JD 700 series combine


S700 or 7700 series?








(F8C7EDE2-1C02-4954-877B-0B3C3DF20DC4 (full).jpeg)



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Attachments F8C7EDE2-1C02-4954-877B-0B3C3DF20DC4 (full).jpeg (13KB - 67 downloads)
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JC STONE
Posted 6/16/2018 15:47 (#6816112 - in reply to #6816101)
Subject: RE: long term corn and soybeans cash charts 1920-present


7720 Titan ll Baby!
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Clay SEIA
Posted 6/16/2018 15:56 (#6816124 - in reply to #6816112)
Subject: RE: long term corn and soybeans cash charts 1920-present



You’re truly living the dream!
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rich79
Posted 6/16/2018 16:03 (#6816136 - in reply to #6816124)
Subject: RE: long term corn and soybeans cash charts 1920-present


EC Nebraska		Maybe I will look for a 915 international just like a run when a was a high school kid
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McHusker
Posted 6/16/2018 17:51 (#6816258 - in reply to #6816136)
Subject: RE: long term corn and soybeans cash charts 1920-present


Nebraska aka the boondocks		If I can’t afford air conditioning I’m out ;)
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Clay SEIA
Posted 6/16/2018 19:56 (#6816398 - in reply to #6816258)
Subject: RE: long term corn and soybeans cash charts 1920-present



McHusker - 6/16/2018 17:51

If I can’t afford air conditioning I’m out ;)


Just a friendly reminder, soybeans traded at approximately today’s level during the production run of 7700 and 915 combines....
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1586
Posted 6/16/2018 20:03 (#6816411 - in reply to #6816398)
Subject: RE: long term corn and soybeans cash charts 1920-present


Clay SEIA - 6/16/2018 18:56

McHusker - 6/16/2018 17:51

If I can’t afford air conditioning I’m out ;)


Just a friendly reminder, soybeans traded at approximately today’s level during the production run of 7700 and 915 combines....


The experts will say with the better yields you are making more money LOL
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1586
Posted 6/16/2018 19:37 (#6816382 - in reply to #6816101)
Subject: RE: long term corn and soybeans cash charts 1920-present


Clay SEIA - 6/16/2018 14:36

JC STONE - 6/16/2018 15:25

Guess I better cancel the order for the new JD 700 series combine


S700 or 7700 series?






Just bought this one this week. Think it will get me by in all this?



(IMG_20180612_130227509_HDR (full).jpg)



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Bigandrich1
Posted 6/16/2018 20:36 (#6816466 - in reply to #6816382)
Subject: RE: long term corn and soybeans cash charts 1920-present


Those were the days
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bkadds
Posted 6/16/2018 18:24 (#6816289 - in reply to #6816066)
Subject: RE: long term corn and soybeans cash charts 1920-present


Dalhart, Texas		Interesting how I remember you being very bearish in the past. Thought you and AgTrader, Darth Vader, were brothers. You disappear, reappear pretty bullish, and now you are back to your old self-bearish. You seem to follow the markets rather than predict them. No offense, just the way I see it. Good luck with your prognostications, but there is only One who knows what tomorrow brings. Worry not about tomorrow...
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thereaper
Posted 6/16/2018 21:59 (#6816625 - in reply to #6816066)
Subject: RE: long term corn and soybeans cash charts 1920-present


Ol’ Wisco		https://www.ers.usda.gov/webdocs/charts/58365/commodity_fig15.png?v=...
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sand85
Posted 6/16/2018 22:17 (#6816668 - in reply to #6816066)
Subject: RE: long term corn and soybeans cash charts 1920-present


C IL		How much will you pay me to sell you a $7.00 put? SX18.

It’s guaranteed money, right?
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