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Stop complaining about USDA
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kentuckyfarmer
Posted 7/13/2017 09:43 (#6123082 - in reply to #6123073)
Subject: RE: Stop complaining about USDA


North Central Kentucky
Copied from another thread--
I AM NOT PICKING ON ANYONE: 
Every year we have lots of comments about how completely crazy the yield estimates from USDA are and how it will never be that high, yet here we are also complaining that the carryover numbers are not good. So, is demand decreasing year over year, or are we experts at knowing what our crops and our area looks like without being able to see the big picture. 
I've grown 200 bushel corn here in Kentucky on ground that wouldn't be considered good for anything but pasture 25 years ago before notill. We are producing more and more grain as a country and, for the most part, using it. 
The market can be cruel. If we all do great jobs of increasing our yields too quickly, the market may drop and take away our potential reward for excellent production. It is natural to want to increase acres when prices and margins fall, but this really isn't what the market is trying to tell us with low prices. We could stand to produce a little less as a group, but the individual producer cannot cut his own production(rightfully so), so we wait for mother nature to determine who's production will be cut and by how much so the rest of us can have a good pricing opportunity.
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