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Ethanol update.. Show me the $$$ part duex.
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JonSCKs
Posted 3/16/2016 16:33 (#5180298)
Subject: Ethanol update.. Show me the $$$ part duex.


Last week I talked about the spring rise in US gasoline prices which continues this week with AAA National Retail prices up about $0.26 for the month..  http://fuelgaugereport.aaa.com/

For the Week US Ethanol production was just under a myn bbls per day at 999 k bbls per day up 2.8% yoy..  Blenders Net input at 888 k bbls was up for the week and up 2.4% yoy while stocks falling implies that Exports were 175.9 k bbls per day which for the current grain marketing year is up 10.1% yoy

US Gasoline supplied is up 2.1% yoy.. while Domestic Crude production comes closer to falling below the 9 myn bbls per day mark.. http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCRFPUS2&f=W

Things are moving in the right direction... Gasoline prices are still about $0.46 below a year ago.. but increasing about a penny per day.. may see that gap continue to close.

          Computed          
 Weekly Production      number to balanceComputedActualTotal Weekly bu  Weekly US  
Week Blenders InputImportsStocksCapacityResidual and exportsExportsExportsEthanolGrindMonthlyYearSupplied Finished 
 Ethanol k bbls/dayk bbls /dayk bbls /day k bbls k bbls k bbls /dayk bblsMonthlyEIAdemand  myn buMotor Gasoline 
        37,936       2.8conversion Ethanol as % of
                      

9/4/2015958 896 0 18,64249% 113.4 794  1009.4100,590  90179.94%
9/11/2015961 878 0 18,29148% 133.1 932  1011.1100,905  89839.77%
9/18/2015938 892 44 18,90050% 3.0 21  895.098,490  92159.68%
9/25/2015943 881 0 18,78250% 78.9 5522,2991,438959.999,015  90219.77%
10/2/2015950 882 17 18,81250% 80.7 565  962.799,750  89589.85%
10/9/2015949 887 0 18,95650% 41.4 290  928.499,645  91379.71%
10/16/2015951 897 0 18,87250% 66.0 462  963.099,855  91579.80%
10/23/2015944 915 0 18,27348% 114.6 802  1029.699,120  93439.79%
10/30/2015969 884 10 18,77449% 23.4 1642,2831,796907.4101,745  91849.63%
11/6/2015982 868 26 18,85450% 128.6 900  996.6103,110  93889.25%
11/13/2015975 870 0 19,24951% 48.6 340  918.6102,375  90549.61%
11/20/20151008 885 0 19,62752% 69.0 483  954.0105,840  89219.92%
11/27/2015956 876 36 19,99753% 63.1 4422,1651,450939.1100,380  92819.44%
12/4/2015993 839 0 19,82952% 178.0 1246  1017.0104,265  94208.91%
12/11/20151000 890 32 20,32254% 71.6 501  961.6105,000  92209.65%
12/18/2015973 880 0 20,38754% 83.7 586  963.7102,165  91859.58%
12/25/2015992 907 0 20,16653% 116.6 8163,1491,9491023.6104,160  93959.65%
1/1/2016996 787 0 21,09956% 75.7 530  862.7104,580  81599.65%
1/8/20161003 807 0 21,34556% 160.9 1126  967.9105,315  85009.49%
1/15/2016983 856 0 21,94058% 42.0 294  898.0103,215  90799.43%
1/22/2016961 865 0 21,43657% 168.0 1176  1033.0100,905  89419.67%
1/29/2016959 815 0 22,36259% 11.7 823,208 826.7100,695  83419.77%
2/5/2016969 858 0 22,95661% 26.1 183  884.1101,745  91229.41%
2/12/2016975 878 0 23,21861% 59.6 417  937.6102,375  92039.54%
2/19/2016994 882 0 23,10561% 128.1 897  1010.1104,370  95769.21%
2/26/2016987 882 0 22,62460% 173.7 12162,713 1055.7103,635  91219.67%
3/4/2016978 878 0 23,30761% 2.4 17  880.4102,690  94119.33%
3/11/2016999 888 0 22,85360% 175.9 1231  1063.9104,895  94589.39%
                     
             68pace      
15 to date973.1 872.3 5.9 20464  87 6092269??959102,1732,861myn bu9100 
14 to date946.6 852.2 0.8 19012  79 5542246182693199,3902,584myn bu8910 
                2782.5276myn bu  
15 vs 142.8% 2.4%   7.6%  10.1% 10.1%1.0%??3.0%2.8%10.7% 2.1% 
   55026.0   Calendar Yr: 1024.1 7169.0 20103.0      
   16177.6      gallons: 301.09832,84423,64972.0%2.80conversion  
              844.326      
              980.9pace103,129avg 2016 grind  
              0.981 5,362,713projected grind 2016  
                     

Weekly production number http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=pet&s=w_epooxe_yop_nus_mbbld&f=w

Weekly Blenders Input.. http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=pet&s=w_epooxe_yir_nus_mbbld&f=w

Weekly Imports of Ethanol http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=W_EPOOXE_IM0_NUS-Z00_MBBLD&f=W

Weekly Stocks number http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=W_EPOOXE_SAE_NUS_MBBL&f=W

Weekly US Product Supplied of Finished Motor Gasoline http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WGFUPUS2&f=W

Monthly US Exports of Ethanol http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=M_EPOOXE_EEX_NUS-Z00_MBBL&f=M

Cheers.



Edited by JonSCKs 3/16/2016 16:39
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