Hi 1234,

I understand,..Just to clarify .. we have a farm that we call the "boondocks". I am no different than you.  Very aware of the weather variables.  Will there be a drought someday..absolutely.  Will there be another flood.. no doubt.  This year?  Could be. As a producer too, I know just like you that every year is different. Last year was nearly perfect in my area, you can bet that this year will not likely be perfect.  Last year's "perfect" weather was record crops for most in our area.  The second best year in our area (best for some) was 2013, when we got literally drowned. There are huge weather differences between those two years, and likely this year will fall some where in between.  Some will get burned up, others will be flooded....happens every year.  We will plant early if weather permits.  But - IMHO- it's  a stretch to be thinking beans are going up and planting early are connected - and that somehow means the crop is in trouble is a stretch..especially early planting.  Early planting generally leads to big crops...Maybe I am misunderstanding. 

 I like to say that the event is interchangeable, as it doesn't matter what causes the spark, it only matters if there is enough fuel to cause the explosion.  Price will go up when buyers are willing to pay more, and sellers are willing to quit selling for less.  Nothing else is really matters, because without that, it just won't happen.

Take Care