Too Wet.. Too Dry.. lol.. so WHICH is it?

They have to START NOW getting the beans out so they can put the 2nd Corn crop in before the winter dry season sets in..

Two years ago in 2014/15.. they did.. Brazil raised 85 mmt's and Exported 34.46 mmt's..
At THIS TIME LAST YEAR.. everyone thunked.. "ditto this year.." and yet it KEPT RAINING.. pushing off plantings.. to wit Brazil ONLY RAISED 67 mmt's cutting exports to 16.5 mmt's and causing them to IMPORT 2.3 mmt's just to make it to HARVEST...

the WASDE has dialed in 86.5 mmt's of Corn from Brazil SOME OF WHICH HASN'T even been PLANTED YET... with scheduled exports on the books of 25.5 mmt's..?!?  (assuming they get it planted.. I guess..)

( https://www.usda.gov/oce/commodity/wasde/latest.pdf )

They are gonna need RAINS all the way through February to fill the beanies.. and First crop.. THEY ARE ALSO going to need a BREAK to get the 1st crop harvested and the 2nd crop PLANTED... no doubt some will go in without a hitch.. but to get the WHOLE COUNTRY to HAVE PERFECT WEATHER WHEN they NEED IT!!  Yes they have soils that dry out quickly.. that is both a blessing and a curse depending upon what they NEED that day...

.. THAT is what is taken for granted..

just like here in the US.. some harvested 70+ bu beans.. whereas we were dry last fall.. our double crop beans came in around 25 bushels.. which "ain't bad".. but could have been better..  "next year maybe.."

ALSO.. the US is scheduled to cut Corn acreage by about 4 myn acres.. coupled with the cost price squeeze alot of inputs are gonna get skimped.. how much nitrogen on the wheaties for example.. top tier corn seed.. or floor sweepings..??  Western fringe raised a beau coup dryland corn crop in 2016.. 2017...???

There's ALOT that is taken for granted...  acres anticipated to be planted x trendline yields..  that doesn't always come out that way...