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What if USDA is wrong?
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CentralNEFarmer
Posted 9/12/2017 12:48 (#6243312)
Subject: What if USDA is wrong?



Custer County, Nebraska

but the wrong assumption USDA has made is the trend line yield growth. They came out with their initial estimates for the 2017 crop yield, knock it a bit back in August and raise it by a bit today. What if that initial estimation was far too low? What if it should have been upwards of 175 to start with?

Comparing crop condition reports against historical data would seem to be useless it the traditional yearly increase no longer hold.

The reason I bring this up I've been thinking back to the "Monsanto 300bu/acre by 2030" goal.

https://monsanto.com/app/uploads/2017/05/summary-glc-2010-corn-water-use-efficiency-in-legacy-hybrids.pdf

There is an interesting chart unfortunately short on much detail.  






(Monsanto-YieldPotential_1.jpg)



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